The Forintek Global Trade Flow Model (Gaston and Delcourt, 1998) was employed to:
Analyze the predicted 2002 trade flows generated in 1997. Recalibrate the model against 2002 known trade data.
Predict trade flows in years 2007 and 2012.
Generate and analyze trade scenarios in years 2007 and 2012.
Based on the forecast scenarios a series of conclusions were drawn regarding the competitiveness of Canadian Forest Products Industry in the global softwood lumber trade.